There has been an increase in SARS-CoV-2 activity globally, based on SARS-CoV-2 data reported to the Global Influenza Surveillance and Response System (GISRS) from sentinel surveillance sites. As of 11 May 2025, the test positivity rate is 11% across 73 reporting countries, areas and territories. This level matches the peak observed in July 2024 (12% from 99 countries) and marks a rise from 2% reported by 110…
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There has been an increase in SARS-CoV-2 activity globally, based on SARS-CoV-2 data reported to the Global Influenza Surveillance and Response System (GISRS) from sentinel surveillance sites. As of 11 May 2025, the test positivity rate is 11% across 73 reporting countries, areas and territories. This level matches the peak observed in July 2024 (12% from 99 countries) and marks a rise from 2% reported by 110 countries back in mid-February 2025 (Figure 1). The increase in test positivity rate is mainly being driven by countries in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, the South-East Asia Region, and the Western Pacific Region. Countries in the African Region, European Region, and the Region of the Americas are currently reporting low levels of SARS-CoV-2 activity with percent positivity from sentinel or systematic virological surveillance sites ranging from 2% to 3%. However, some areas—particularly in the Caribbean and Andean subregions in the Region of the Americas showed increasing trends of SARS-CoV-2 test positivity as of 11 May. Publicly available wastewater monitoring data from countries in the European Region and the Northern America subregion remain low and, at present, do not indicate any upward trend in SARS-CoV-2 activity as of 11 May 2025. The reporting of COVID-19 associated hospitalizations, Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admissions, and deaths is very limited from the countries in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, the South-East Asia Region, and the Western Pacific Region and does not allow for evaluation of the impact on health systems by WHO. Figure 1. SARS-CoV-2 tested specimens and percent positive reported from sentinel sites to eGISRS from countries, areas and territories from January 2023 to May 2025* *Most recent week’s data may be incomplete. Source: Global Influenza Programme SARS-CoV-2 Variant Evolution and Circulation SARS-CoV-2 continues to evolve, and between January and May 2025, there were shifts in global SARS-CoV-2 variant dynamics. At the beginning of the year, the most prevalent variant tracked by WHO at the global level was XEC, followed by KP.3.1.1. In February, circulation of XEC began to decline while that of LP.8.1 increased, with the latter becoming the most detected variant in mid-March. Since mid-April, the circulation of LP.8.1 has been slightly declining as NB.1.8.1 is increasingly being detected. Figure 2. SARS-CoV-2 Variants of Interest and Variants Under Monitoring proportions from January 2025 to May 2025. Source: GISAID and CoV-SPECTRUM The most recently designated variant under monitoring (VUM) is NB.1.8.1, which is a descendent lineage of XDV.1.5.1, in turn a descendent of JN.1, with the earliest sample collected on 22 January 2025. In comparison to the currently dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant, LP.8.1, NB.1.8.1 has the following additional spike mutations: T22N, F59S, G184S, A435S, V445H, and T478I. Spike mutations at position 445 have been shown to enhance binding affinity to hACE2 receptor, which could increase the variant’s transmissibility; mutations at position 435 have been shown to modestly reduce the neutralization potency of class 1 and class 1/4 antibodies; mutations at position 478 have been shown to enhance the evasion of Class 1/2 antibodies.[2] As of 18 May 2025, 518 NB.1.8.1 sequences were submitted to GISAID from 22 countries, representing 10.7% of the globally available sequences in epidemiological week (EW) 17 of 2025 (21 to 27 April 2025). While the percentage remains low, this presents a significant rise from 2.5% four weeks prior in EW14 of 2025 (31 March to 6 April 2025). Between EW14 and EW17 of 2025, increased circulation of NB.1.8.1 was detected in all three WHO regions that are consistently sharing SARS-CoV-2 sequences, i.e. from 8.9% to 11.7% for the Western Pacific region, from 1.6% to 4.9% for the region of the Americas, and from 1.0% to 6.0% for the European region. There are only 5 NB.1.8.1 sequences from the South-East Asia Region, and none from the African Region or the Eastern Mediterranean Region. COVID-19 Vaccination Update From the latest available global data covering the period between 1 January and 30 September 2024, overall COVID-19 vaccine uptake among high-risk groups remains low, with significant disparities across regions and income levels. Among older adults[3], just 1.68% were reported as having received a dose so far in 2024 up to 30 September 2024 across 75 reporting Member States, and among health and care workers, uptake stood at 0.96% across 54 reporting Member States. An estimated 39.2 million individuals, across 90 reporting Member States covering 31% of the global population, had received a dose in 2024 through 30 September 2024, including 14.8 million in the third quarter. Uptake was notably higher in the Region of the Americas and the European Region, with older adult coverage reaching 5.1% in the European Region and 3.6% in the Region of the Americas compared to less than 0.5% in other regions. A similar disparity was observed when comparing countries by income level. High and upper middle-income countries (HIC/UMIC) reported higher vaccine uptake among older adults with 4.3% and 1.2% respectively, compared to less than 0.5% in low-income countries (LIC) and lower middle-income countries (LMIC). Similar patterns were seen among health and care workers, with uptake in the Region of the Americas (2.8%) far exceeding the less than 0.5% seen in other regions. Among income groups, UMICs reported 2.1% coverage, compared to just 0.3% in LICs and 0.1% in LMICs. Complete vaccination data for 2024 is being collected now and will be released in mid-July 2025. Currently approved COVID-19 vaccines continue to provide protection against severe disease and death. To ensure approved vaccines remain effective, the WHO Technical Advisory Group on COVID-19 Vaccine Composition (TAG-CO-VAC) continues to monitor and review the impact of SARS-CoV-2 evolution on the performance of available vaccines. In May 2025, TAG-CO-VAC advised that monovalent vaccines targeting the JN.1 or KP.2 lineages remain appropriate. They also noted that vaccines targeting the LP.8.1 lineage can be considered as a suitable alternative. Vaccination should not be delayed. However, in anticipation of access to latest variant-containing vaccines, there is a greater benefit in ensuring that persons at high risk of developing severe COVID-19 receive a dose of any available vaccine as compared to delaying vaccination. Overview of selected WHO regions Eastern Mediterranean Region In the Eastern Mediterranean Region, sentinel surveillance data have been reported from 12 countries via test positivity rates from sentinel sites in 2025. The test positivity rate increased from 4% in EW13 to 17% in EW17 and then declined to 15% in EW19. Following lower circulation in the first ten weeks of 2025, a sharp upward trend surpassed the levels of last year (11% in EW17 2024). Across the region, recent reports of increases in circulation have been observed in five countries to date, including Egypt, Kuwait, Oman, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and Pakistan. Figure 3. SARS-CoV-2 tested specimens reported from sentinel sites to eGISRS from countries, areas and territories in the Eastern Mediterranean Region for 2024 and 2025* *Most recent week’s data may be incomplete. Source: Global Influenza Programme South-East Asia Region In the South-East Asia Region, sentinel surveillance data have been reported by eight countries in 2025. Since the beginning of April, the test positivity rate increased from 0.5% in EW15 to 5% in EW19. Although at a lower level, a similar upward trend was observed during the same period in 2024, with rates rising from 4% in EW15 to 6% in EW19, and further to 10% by EW24. The recent increases are observed in the Maldives and Thailand. As per published national reports, a rise in COVID-19 case detections was observed in India [4] in EW20 and Thailand [5] between EW16 to EW20. Figure 4. SARS-CoV-2 tested specimens reported from sentinel sites to eGISRS from countries, areas and territories in the South-East Asia Region for 2024 and 2025* *Most recent week’s data may be incomplete. Source: Global Influenza Programme Western Pacific Region In the Western Pacific Region, sentinel surveillance data have been reported by ten countries and areas via test positivity rates from sentinel sites in 2025. In the past month, the test positivity rate increased from 5% in EW14 to 11% in EW19. Following lower circulation in the first ten weeks of the year, a sharp upwards trend reached similar levels as last year (10% in EW18 2024). The recent increases have been observed in four countries and areas to date: Cambodia, China, Hong Kong SAR and Singapore. Figure 5. SARS-CoV-2 tested specimens reported from sentinel sites to eGISRS from countries, areas and territories in the Western Pacific Region for 2024 and 2025* *Most recent week’s data may be incomplete. Source: Global Influenza Programme